Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion
Por um escritor misterioso
Last updated 04 julho 2024
What does chess rating tell us? How is it calculated and can it predict the next World Chess Champion?
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/roeder-chess-champ-game-12.png)
Carlsen's Bizarre Decision Has Sent The World Chess Championship
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/10c2dd123210bdd26de5c6e745439c0cbdfd5507/0_0_1436_804/master/1436.jpg?width=465&dpr=1&s=none)
Magnus Carlsen misses winning chance in Game 9 draw with Fabiano
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://images.chesscomfiles.com/uploads/v1/images_users/tiny_mce/SmarterChess/phpUnWH38.png)
Carlsen vs Caruana: CAPS Predicts The 2018 World Chess
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://images.chesscomfiles.com/uploads/v1/images_users/tiny_mce/PeterDoggers/php8eySOx.jpeg)
Caruana: 'I Think My Chances Are About 50-50'
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://i.imgur.com/zEfzZfD.png)
Yikes! Caruana misses a rather straightforward mate in 63 on move
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/GettyImages-930127606.jpg)
The American Grandmaster Who Could Become World Champion
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://media2.s-nbcnews.com/i/MSNBC/Components/Video/201811/f_tov_chess_181128.jpg)
Magnus Carlsen defeats Fabiano Caruana to retain World Chess
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/GettyImages-482270269.jpg)
The American Grandmaster Who Could Become World Champion
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://i.guim.co.uk/img/media/04ffe3d279cb8dd8ee5bc558c223ed251cf6f1b5/0_0_1153_487/master/1153.jpg?width=465&dpr=1&s=none)
Magnus Carlsen turns tables on Fabiano Caruana in Game 3 draw – as
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://images.chesscomfiles.com/uploads/v1/images_users/tiny_mce/PeterDoggers/php7SUEGy.jpeg)
Caruana: 'I Think My Chances Are About 50-50'
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://cdn.oddspedia.bg/media/en/16x9/fabiano-caruana-magnus-carlsen-7757458.png)
Fabiano Caruana vs Magnus Carlsen » Predictions, Odds, Live Scores
FIDE - International Chess Federation - Magnus Carlsen, 5-time
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://media.cnn.com/api/v1/images/stellar/prod/181128205455-magnus-carlsen.jpg?q=x_8,y_211,h_2368,w_4208,c_crop/w_250)
Magnus Carlsen beats Fabiano Caruana to win World Chess
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://fivethirtyeight.com/wp-content/uploads/2018/11/2018CHESSCHAMP-1121-16x9.png?w=712)
It Was Finally Fabiano Caruana's Turn To Survive At The World
![Math predicts Caruana has 39.5% chance of becoming the World Chess Champion](https://images.chesscomfiles.com/uploads/v1/news/435702.72922477.5000x5000o.6eece94251ce.jpeg)
Caruana: 'I Think My Chances Are About 50-50'
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